Tillis’s Democrat opponent Cal Cunningham was caught exchanging sexually charged text messages with a woman other than his wife. Looking just at the battleground states, Trump is polling better today than he was at this stage in the 2016 race. McSally is an albatross around Trump’s neck. (America’s immovable object: The Electoral College). On election night, Trump won 306 electoral votes to 232 for Clinton. Her comments and various corruption scandals have made her a lightning rod. Republican incumbent Martha McSally has a compelling personal story. There is a large Hispanic population, but the main issue that hurts Trump in Arizona is the Senate race.

Her repeat of anti-Semitic tropes has harmed the traditionally warm relationship between Democrats and liberal Jewish voters. The national poll lead reflects huge voter support for Biden in states like California and New York. Read more from Eric at his TYGRRRR EXPRESS blog. Obama-Biden regulations devastated their industry. The 51 contests add up to 538 electoral votes, with a majority of 270 electoral votes needed to win the White House. I was categorical that Trump would win, and I gave the TV anchors specific reasons why this would happen. Then in 2019 Lepage was succeeded by the very liberal Janet Mills. Both candidates will fight hard for Ohio, but Trump has the edge as long as the economy continues to mend.
What the Latest Polls Say About Whether Trump or Biden Will Win the Presidential Election. Once adjustments are made for oversampling Democrats and polling ‘all adults’ instead of ‘likely voters’, the polls are actually much closer than the published results. In late August 2016, the Democrats led the battleground state polls by 5.3 points. The TV anchors would turn pale or gasp for breath when I gave my predictions, but they were kind enough to give me time to explain why the polls were skewed, why betting markets are not good predictors of political outcomes, and why anecdotal evidence — which I had gathered on road trips in Spokane, Washington, and the Ozark Mountains — all pointed in Trump’s favour. The Cuban Hispanic community in Miami Dade County is traditionally Republican, but many Cubans disliked Trump in 2016. This means that polls we are seeing today may have been conducted weeks ago. Stimulus talks are said to be ongoing, but there were dew signs of progress.

Of course, Trump won in 2016 despite that lead in August. She was appointed to her current seat when Senator John McCain died.
The opinions of the author are their own.The author and Communities Digital News owns the whole copy write of this article and it may not be duplicated without express permission. And for good reason: A victory by President Donald Trump or Joe Biden would benefit different sectors and a sweep by either party could end the gridlock in Washington that has kept another coronavirus relief package from getting passed.


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